Early Projections Have Gorillaz & Mary J. Blige Going 2-3 Next Week; Mellencamp & Nelson Also in Top 12

by VVN Music

Next week is shaping up to be a big one for veteran artists on the U.S. Albums chart if early projections hold true.

HitsDailyDouble.com has made some early prognostications for the week with Kendrick Lamar sticking at number 1 for a third week with DAMN.; however, five of the next 11 belong to veteran artists.

Gorillaz are projected to move 100,000 to 105,000 copies of their new album, Humanz, giving them their fourth top three album out of five releases. With streaming, which is significant for the band, the total becomes 115,000 to 120,000.

In reality, they are projected to far outsell Lamar whose total is in the 55,000 to 60,000 range but his streaming pushes him way ahead (160,000 to 170,000).

Mary J. Blige is looking at number 3 with Strength of a Woman on sales of 63,000 to 68,000 (67,000 to 72,000 with streaming), just slightly ahead of fourth place Drake. Whether she ends up at 3 or 4, it will continue her 25 year/13 album run of sets making the Billboard top ten.

John Mellencamp has an outside chance of making the top ten with his new album Sad Clowns and Hillbillies. The album has projected sales of 30,000 to 35,000 (31,000 to 36,000 with streaming) and, if it makes the top ten, it will be his eleventh album to do so.

Willie Nelson also has relatively strong sales for his album God's Problem Child at 28,000 to 32,000 (29,000 to 34,000 with streaming). That places him at 12 although that could vary by up to two in either direction as projected sales are close throughout that part of the chart. This will be a big improvement over his last two albums, Summertime: Willie Nelson Sings Gershwin (2016 / #40) and For the Good Times: A Tribute to Ray Price (2016 / #84).

Also in the top ten, for a second week, is Guardians of the Galaxy: Awesome Mix, Vol. 2 which was released on CD last Friday after a week as just digital. Sales are projected at 30,000 to 35,000.

Final positions will be out next Tuesday (May 9).


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